‘The Situation is Dire’: Conflict on Iran Squeezes India's LPG Supplies.
The repercussions of a military engagement being fought nearly 1,864 miles away are now reaching India's kitchens.
As aerial attacks on Iran impede energy shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, availability of kitchen fuel are tightening across India, pushing restaurants to reduce offerings, close earlier and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is flooded by video clips showing queues outside fuel suppliers across Indian metros and localities as anxieties over fuel supplies spread. Commercial LPG users appear the hardest struck: the most severe shortage is in food service establishments.
"Conditions are critical. LPG simply isn't available," says a spokesperson of the a major restaurant body.
Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or piped gas, and the shortages are now being noticed across the country. "Numerous restaurants have shut down - some in Delhi, many in the south. People are switching to traditional burners and induction stoves to keep food preparation going."
City-Specific Fallout
In a financial hub, accounts say up to a 20% of hospitality businesses are already operating at reduced capacity as commercial LPG supplies tighten. In the southern cities of tech and coastal hubs, some establishments say their cylinder inventory have depleted with little backup. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and nothing else - it is extremely difficult. Businesses are going to suffer," says a business operator in Bengaluru.
Restaurant owners are scrambling to adapt. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are skipping midday meals and reducing hours," an industry representative says, adding that closures are changing as supplies ebb and flow. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a dynamic scenario."
Retailers note a spike in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Official Position
Yet, the officials states there is adequate supply.
India has more than 300 million domestic LPG users and officials say supplies are being reallocated to households as conflict-related stress from the regional hostilities ripple through energy markets.
Approximately a majority of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about 90% of those shipments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now largely blocked by the conflict.
The oil ministry says that it instructed refineries to maximise LPG output for home needs, enhancing domestic production by about a quarter. Non-domestic supply is being reserved for critical services such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"A degree of anxious stocking and accumulation has been caused by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for home fuel remains about two-and-a-half days," says a ministry representative.
Spreading Anxiety
Now the anxiety is moving beyond kitchens. On social media, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a extended procession of scooters outside a gas outlet. "Concern is genuine," the text reads.
According to reports from energy specialists, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be premature.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its crude oil. Around half of its petroleum shipments - about millions of barrels a day - travel through the strait, largely from Gulf countries.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the gap could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on maritime intelligence and industry information, increased Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, lessening India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently on the water in the Indian Ocean and, with only key buyers as major buyers, those barrels remain a viable alternative," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The primary concern is cooking gas, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only a minority share domestically, importing the rest - most of it through the Strait.
Refineries can adjust processes to produce a bit more LPG, but even a limited rise would only increase domestic supply to about around half of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Petroleum shortage concerns can be somewhat alleviated through diversification. Fuel availability remains relatively comfortable. Cooking gas supply is the real variable to monitor in the coming weeks."
What may be heightening the concern on the ground is not just scarcity but erratic supply chains - and the familiar spectre of panic buying.
An industry representative claims price gouging.
"Distributors are misusing the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being stockpiled and sold to the highest bidder."
For now, India's energy imports may be protected by worldwide shipping. But in homes across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next gas canister.